Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can forecast the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With up to date news and a small but feisty 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to respond to humanity's most difficult questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as 2 years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pushing questions that are less easy to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be much better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some appealing enhancements - term paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter design which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its finest forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We postured the following questions to our AI and sitiosecuador.com determined its response. While we have actually seen forecast improvements from our training, use these estimates for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta aspect in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the essential points from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her pals and family to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are delighted, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not addressing the speculation straight.
I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial occasion, the chances and his actions suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, thinking about all factors.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility
No Jason Kelce hasn't the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and ura.cc again during this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it looks like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to think about the defensive techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they may adjust their defense appropriately, which might either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a considerable number however possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it a number of times, particularly if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling backward and disgaeawiki.info forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, demo.qkseo.in like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime program when Trump existed in 2018. That appears significant due to the fact that it reveals he's done it in the past, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current short articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could suggest he's less likely to address Trump this time.
However, he's likewise included in a fight with Drake, demo.qkseo.in which might offer him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement match from Drake, so perhaps he's cautious about including any controversial songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar might feel obliged to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements during the halftime program, so there's a threat that such material may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold relocations on huge stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which may offer him more creative flexibility. Plus, his past behavior suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.
But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the possibility seems to be reasonably high, perhaps around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Appears like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't mean to trigger offense which he really found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who takes pleasure in consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, specifically if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to find out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may influence this forecast.
First, I review the posts offered. They all point out the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually shown up regularly than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based purely on history, addsub.wiki tails has a small edge, but it's not a substantial difference.
However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The slight historical edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making forecasts, sometimes people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to think about whether this historical predisposition ought to influence the possibility.
After believing about it, I decide that while the historic data shows a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically significant adequate to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists however doesn't bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably believe the same. BUT, its official now because our AI states the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major setiathome.berkeley.edu accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful calls in recent games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "absurd." They say there's no evidence of methodical bias. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it might suggest there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also discussed that analytical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been penalized more considering that 2022. That's intriguing because if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero since you can't eliminate every possibility, however extremely not likely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth watching the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game turns out before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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Our new Deepseek based AI Says
Adela Elmer edited this page 4 months ago