Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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Nobody can predict the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With as much as date news and a small however spirited 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we attempt to address mankind's toughest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pushing questions that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing enhancements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is in fact on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown territory to make its best forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We positioned the following questions to our AI and gauged its reaction. While we have seen prediction enhancements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop betting at your own hazard.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...
First, I'll look at the essential points from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her friends and household to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.
Some fans are delighted, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not attending to the speculation straight.
I think the essential points are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, thinking about all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, passfun.awardspace.us now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to determine the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to just what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it looks like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and oke.zone technique.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I likewise require to think about the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they might change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than five appears like a considerable number but possible given their confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the probability that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it's effective early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.
From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial because it shows he's done it previously, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current short articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That might mean he's less most likely to address Trump this time.
However, he's likewise included in a fight with Drake, which might give him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel match from Drake, so possibly he's cautious about including any controversial tunes in the performance. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there's a risk that such material may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making vibrant moves on big stages. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which may provide him more creative flexibility. Plus, his previous habits recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Appears like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to cause offense and that he in fact found it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which may suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Looking at the articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who enjoys consuming, particularly with his group. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can happen when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may affect this prediction.
First, I check out the articles supplied. They all mention the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up regularly than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a substantial distinction.
However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is normally thought about random. The minor historical edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making forecasts, sometimes people weigh historic data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I should consider whether this historical bias ought to affect the probability.
After believing about it, I choose that while the historic data reveals a minor preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists however doesn't bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, wiki.piratenpartei.de you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably believe the exact same. BUT, its official now since our AI states the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty major allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that talk about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful contact current games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their team loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ludicrous." They say there's no proof of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might mean there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some fact to it.
Looking at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been penalized more because 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting special treatment, you might expect fewer charges, right?
...
So, putting it all together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely very low. Maybe not zero since you can't dismiss every possibility, however incredibly unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hello, if it turns out our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.
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Our Brand new Deepseek based AI Says
Abbey Imlay edited this page 2 months ago